Vuba aha, Robin Griffin, visi perezida w’ibyuma n’ubucukuzi bw’amabuye y’agaciro muri Wood Mackenzie, yagize ati: “Twateganyaga ko umuringa uzaba ubuze cyane kugeza mu 2030.” Yavuze ko ibi biterwa ahanini n’imvururu zikomeje kubera muri Peru ndetse n’ubwiyongere bw’ubusabe bw’umuringa mu rwego rw’impinduka mu by’ingufu.
Yongeyeho ati: “Igihe cyose habaye imvururu za politiki, habaho ingaruka zitandukanye. Kandi kimwe mu bigaragara cyane ni uko ibirombe bishobora gufungwa.”
Peru yahungabanyijwe n'imyigaragambyo kuva uwahoze ari Perezida Castillo akurwaho mu rubanza rwo kumukuraho ubutegetsi mu Ukuboza gushize, ibyo bikaba byaragize ingaruka ku bucukuzi bw'umuringa muri icyo gihugu. Iki gihugu cyo muri Amerika y'Epfo gifite 10% by'umuringa utangwa ku isi.
Byongeye kandi, Shili – igihugu kinini ku isi gitanga umuringa, gifite 27% by’umusaruro ku isi – cyabonye ko umusaruro w’umuringa wagabanutseho 7% ugereranyije n’umwaka mu Gushyingo. Goldman Sachs yanditse muri raporo itandukanye yo ku ya 16 Mutarama ati: “Muri rusange, twizera ko umusaruro w’umuringa wa Shili ushobora kugabanuka hagati ya 2023 na 2025.”
Tina Teng, umusesenguzi w’isoko muri CMC Markets, yagize ati: “Gusubira mu bukungu muri Aziya bizagira ingaruka zikomeye ku biciro by’umuringa kuko bizamura icyerekezo cy’ubusabe kandi bizakomeza kuzamura ibiciro by’umuringa bitewe n’ibura ry’ibikoresho mu gihe hari impinduka mu bucukuzi bw’amabuye y’agaciro bituma ubucukuzi burushaho kugorana.”
Teng yongeyeho ati: “Ibura ry’umuringa rizakomeza kugeza igihe ihungabana ry’ubukungu ku isi rizaba ritewe n’umuyaga ukaze uriho ubu, wenda mu 2024 cyangwa 2025. Kugeza icyo gihe, ibiciro by’umuringa bishobora kwikuba kabiri.
Ariko, umuhanga mu by’ubukungu muri Wolfe Research Timna Tanners yavuze ko yiteze ko ibikorwa byo gukora umuringa n’ikoreshwa ryawo bitazagira ingaruka zikomeye mu gihe ubukungu bwa Aziya buzaba bumeze neza. Yizera ko amashanyarazi ashobora kuba ari yo mpamvu ikomeye ituma umuringa ukenerwa cyane.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Nzeri-07-2023